Republican House in November?
August 21, 2010 Filed in: National Affairs | 2010 Elections
If the Obama regime continues to shove the ‘folks’ noses in the dirt for two more months, I wouldn’t be surprised if the US Senate has a shakeup as well.
AUGUST 20, 2010 Wall Street Journal
“In the panoply of political prognosticators populating Washington, few have painted a bleaker picture of Democrats' 2010 election prospects than Charlie Cook.
In an interview with WSJ's Jerry Seib, veteran political analyst Charlie Cook said he believes Republicans will re-claim the House in the Fall mid-term elections. He also said Harry Reid may defeat Sharon Angle in Nevada and wondered whether Rand Paul can lose in Kentucky.
And he doesn't see that picture getting any brighter.
To the contrary, Mr. Cook, who is editor and publisher of a newsletter that bears his name, and who stands as perhaps the most respected crystal-ball gazer in politics, now says it more definitively than ever: Republicans are on track to win back control of the House of Representatives, claiming their most coveted prize of 2010.
"I think Republicans are going to get the House back," he said flatly in a conversation taped for WSJ.com's "Big Interview" segment, which will be posted on the site Friday morning.
To be precise, Republicans need to win 39 Democratic seats to get control of the House, and Mr. Cook's current estimate is that they are in line for a 35- to 45-seat gain. "But frankly, I think we're being very conservative with that," he added. "The odds of it being higher than that range are a lot better than lower."
Mr. Cook just this week raised his newsletter's forecast of Republican gains to reflect this new view. The analysis is significant, not only because Mr. Cook has a strong track record—he correctly called the last wave that brought Democrats into power in the House, in 2006—but also because Mr. Cook and his small staff of analysts probably devote more hours and shoe-leather to analyzing individual House and Senate races than anyone outside the political parties.
It's also significant because Mr. Cook has consistently been more bullish on Republicans' prospects this year than many other nonpartisan analystshave been, and events have generally evolved to match his view.
The basis of his analysis is simple: ... “ READ MORE AT THE WALL STREET JOURNAL Read More...
AUGUST 20, 2010 Wall Street Journal
Why Political Sage Sees GOP Romp in November
“In the panoply of political prognosticators populating Washington, few have painted a bleaker picture of Democrats' 2010 election prospects than Charlie Cook.
In an interview with WSJ's Jerry Seib, veteran political analyst Charlie Cook said he believes Republicans will re-claim the House in the Fall mid-term elections. He also said Harry Reid may defeat Sharon Angle in Nevada and wondered whether Rand Paul can lose in Kentucky.
And he doesn't see that picture getting any brighter.
To the contrary, Mr. Cook, who is editor and publisher of a newsletter that bears his name, and who stands as perhaps the most respected crystal-ball gazer in politics, now says it more definitively than ever: Republicans are on track to win back control of the House of Representatives, claiming their most coveted prize of 2010.
"I think Republicans are going to get the House back," he said flatly in a conversation taped for WSJ.com's "Big Interview" segment, which will be posted on the site Friday morning.
To be precise, Republicans need to win 39 Democratic seats to get control of the House, and Mr. Cook's current estimate is that they are in line for a 35- to 45-seat gain. "But frankly, I think we're being very conservative with that," he added. "The odds of it being higher than that range are a lot better than lower."
Mr. Cook just this week raised his newsletter's forecast of Republican gains to reflect this new view. The analysis is significant, not only because Mr. Cook has a strong track record—he correctly called the last wave that brought Democrats into power in the House, in 2006—but also because Mr. Cook and his small staff of analysts probably devote more hours and shoe-leather to analyzing individual House and Senate races than anyone outside the political parties.
It's also significant because Mr. Cook has consistently been more bullish on Republicans' prospects this year than many other nonpartisan analystshave been, and events have generally evolved to match his view.
The basis of his analysis is simple: ... “ READ MORE AT THE WALL STREET JOURNAL Read More...